It has been an absolutely wild couple of days, as multiple bid stealers have created a strong yet crowded bubble. A few sections of the seed list are due for a final scrub today, but the tweaks from here should be minor. The A-10 and AAC Championship games could also trigger some movement at the lower end of the bracket.
Final projections will be posted later this afternoon before the selection show.
Hereβs a quick refresher about how the NCAA selection committee classifies wins based on the NET rating:
Β· Quad 1: Home vs. teams ranked 1-30 / Neutral vs. teams ranked 1-50 / Road vs. teams ranked 1-75
Β· Quad 1A: Home vs. teams ranked 1-15 / Neutral vs. teams ranked 1-25 / Road vs. teams ranked 1-40
Β· Quad 2:Β Home vs. teams ranked 31-75 / Neutral vs. teams ranked 51-100 / Road vs. teams ranked 76-135
Β· Quad 3:Β Home vs. teams ranked 76-160 / Neutral vs. teams ranked 101-200 / Road vs. teams ranked 136-240
Β· Quad 4:Β Home vs. teams ranked 161-351 / Neutral vs. teams ranked 201-351 / Road vs. teams ranked 241-351
The Bracket
The projections below are based on all games played through March 16, 2024 as well as the Ivy League Championship Game. Following the bracket, I included my last four in and first four teams out.
| BOSTON (EAST) | DETROIT (MIDWEST) | |
| Brooklyn β March 22/24 | Indianapolis β March 22/24 | |
| 1)Β Connecticut | 1)Β Purdue | |
| 16)Β Howard / Wagner | 16) Stetson | |
| 8) Boise State |
8) Dayton | |
| 9)Β TCU | 9)Β Colorado State | |
| Pittsburgh β March 21/23 | Brooklyn β March 22/24 | |
| 5)Β BYU |
5)Β Texas Tech | |
| 12)Β McNeese State | 12)Β Samford |
|
| 4) Duke | 4)Β Kentucky | |
| 13)Β Yale | 13) Vermont | |
| Omaha β March 21/23 | Salt Lake City β March 21/23 | |
| 6) Florida | 6)Β Saint Maryβs | |
| 11)Β James Madison | 11)Β Oregon | |
| 3)Β Kansas | 3)Β Creighton | |
| 14)Β Oakland | 14) Colgate | |
| Charlotte β March 21/23 | Omaha β March 21/23 | |
| 7) Clemson | 7)Β Nevada | |
| 10) Colorado / Oklahoma | 10) Florida Atlantic | |
| 2) Tennessee | 2)Β Iowa State | |
| 15)Β Long Beach State |
15)Β South Dakota State | |
| LOS ANGELES (WEST) | DALLAS (SOUTH) | |
| Charlotte β March 21/23 | Memphis β March 22/24 | |
| 1) North Carolina | 1)Β Houston | |
| 16)Β Grambling / Montana St. | 16) Saint Peterβs | |
| 8)Β Texas | 8) Nebraska | |
| 9)Β Northwestern | 9)Β NewΒ Mexico | |
| Spokane β March 22/24 | Spokane β March 22/24 | |
| 5)Β San Diego State | 5) Wisconsin | |
| 12)Β VCU | 12)Β Grand Canyon | |
| 4)Β Alabama | 4)Β Auburn | |
| 13)Β Charleston | 13) UAB | |
| Memphis β March 22/24 | Pittsburgh… |