Per the norm this season, the men’s college basketball chaos will continue this weekend with a series of high-profile matchups.
We’re less than a month from Selection Sunday, so every game matters now. With a soft bubble and multiple teams entering the second half of February with a chance to seal — or erase — their NCAA tournament hopes, the slate on Saturday and Sunday is worth watching, beginning with the biggest matchup of the weekend.
Saturday, 4 p.m. ET, ESPN
The last two national champions seem prepared to chase another ring this season. The Bears (2021) and the Jayhawks (2022) have risen just weeks before Selection Sunday, when both Big 12 squads could capture top seeds. The winner of this matchup — Baylor won the first game, 75-69, in Waco on Jan. 23 — will have the edge in a three-way tie between Baylor, Kansas and Texas Longhorns in the Big 12 title race.
Baylor star Keyonte George, a projected first-round pick in ESPN’s latest NBA mock draft, leads the No. 1 team in adjusted offensive efficiency on KenPom. For Kansas, an 88-80 win over the Longhorns on Feb. 6 proved this is not the same team Baylor defeated a month ago. Jalen Wilson scored just two points against the Longhorns that night, but Gradey Dick (21 points) and the other three KU starters combined to score 64 points. This is not only a heavyweight fight in the Big 12; it’s also a potential Final Four matchup.
Score prediction: Kansas 81, Baylor 77
Other games this weekend with NCAA tournament seeding implications
Saturday, 1 p.m. ET, ESPN
After losing back-to-back games on buzzer-beaters (Vanderbilt Commodores, Missouri Tigers) before securing a 68-59 win over No. 1 Alabama Crimson Tide on Wednesday, the Vols (No. 1 in adjusted defensive efficiency on KenPom) remain one of college basketball’s most difficult riddles to solve. But the bubble-worthy Wildcats need a major boost for their résumé, and that reality will add another layer to this rivalry game at Rupp Arena.
Score prediction: Kentucky 68, Tennessee 66
Saturday, 2 p.m. ET, ESPN
Well, Kansas State is sliding after losing four of its last five games, but Iowa State has lost five consecutive Big 12 road games. Anything could happen when the two meet. Both will need a lot of help to get back to the top of the league standings.
Score prediction: Kansas State 69, Iowa State 66
Saturday, 2 p.m. ET, ESPN+
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